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Message History

Discussion: Upper-level analysis confirms that we are now under the influence of the Omega block, particularly the N flow moving down and around the W side of the leading trough. This is going to produce northerly winds in general between now and Wednesday evening. This will keep afternoon high temps at bay as well as produce a refreshing low-humidity feel. B...


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Discussion: The Omega block, mentioned earlier this week in the weekly outlook, is taking shape and will deliver a cooler/drier NW flow to NJ this weekend (rounding the E trough of the Omega block setup). For that reason, Saturday might not make it out of the upper-60s…however with a UV index of 11 and low humidity, that’s going to feel refreshing and comfort...


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Discussion: It’s been some roller coaster of temperatures the last month or so. I’ve seen record low high temps (ex: afternoon high only reaches 58) and record high temps (afternoon high reaches 98) occur in the last few weeks and very close together. It’s certainly going to be a challenge to get a handle on any synoptic pattern given the developing Super El ...


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Discussion: The forecast for this Memorial Day Weekend is not great. I held off as long as possible making this forecast, hoping for change. But there has been no change. We’re in for a cloudy, rainy, windy weekend from at least Friday afternoon through at least Sunday afternoon. It’s then very likely that rain will take it’s time ending between Sunday aftern...


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Discussion: The upper jet will remain well N of NJ through at least Wednesday morning. This will allow upper level heights to continue ridging for the E US, especially the Mid-Atlantic US/NJ. At the surface this means well above average temperatures (in the 90s, possibly 100), an introduction of summer-like humidity, but mostly under blue skies. On Wednesday ...


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